Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.023806 0.025608 0.027489 0.029600 0.031906 0.034351 0.037144
2024-12-22 0.020325 0.022815 0.025547 0.028776 0.032501 0.036676 0.041730
2024-12-29 0.018213 0.021106 0.024401 0.028452 0.033327 0.039035 0.046273
2025-01-05 0.016643 0.019782 0.023469 0.028150 0.033981 0.041061 0.050398
2025-01-12 0.015232 0.018489 0.022411 0.027527 0.034087 0.042305 0.053516
2025-01-19 0.014467 0.017902 0.022135 0.027797 0.035260 0.044887 0.058450
2025-01-26 0.013683 0.017220 0.021670 0.027755 0.035974 0.046859 0.062654
2025-02-02 0.013153 0.016818 0.021519 0.028083 0.037161 0.049494 0.067909
2025-02-09 0.012456 0.016149 0.020965 0.027815 0.037487 0.050927 0.071519
2025-02-16 0.011886 0.015610 0.020546 0.027690 0.037977 0.052589 0.075538
2025-02-23 0.011336 0.015067 0.020085 0.027467 0.038294 0.053991 0.079230
2025-03-02 0.010904 0.014662 0.019787 0.027447 0.038887 0.055809 0.083661
2025-03-09 0.010376 0.014101 0.019249 0.027057 0.038915 0.056790 0.086865
2025-03-16 0.009841 0.013506 0.018633 0.026515 0.038676 0.057334 0.089389
2025-03-23 0.009434 0.013075 0.018230 0.026266 0.038862 0.058539 0.093072
2025-03-30 0.009052 0.012663 0.017834 0.026001 0.038999 0.059658 0.096668
2025-04-06 0.008614 0.012149 0.017264 0.025436 0.038618 0.059899 0.098734
2025-04-13 0.008422 0.011992 0.017218 0.025683 0.039555 0.062361 0.104905
2025-04-20 0.008169 0.011731 0.017002 0.025644 0.040013 0.064033 0.109758
2025-04-27 0.008015 0.011613 0.016999 0.025943 0.041045 0.066742 0.116733
2025-05-04 0.007738 0.011297 0.016673 0.025699 0.041136 0.067803 0.120648
2025-05-11 0.007508 0.011043 0.016434 0.025585 0.041440 0.069252 0.125414
2025-05-18 0.007270 0.010768 0.016151 0.025382 0.041575 0.070393 0.129646